Hemodynamic and Echocardiographic Predictors of Mortality in Pediatric Patients on Venoarterial Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation: A Multicenter Investigation.

BACKGROUND: Venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) supports patients with advanced cardiac dysfunction; however, mortality occurs in a significant subset of patients. The authors performed a multicenter, prospective study to determine hemodynamic and echocardiographic predictors of mortality in children placed on ECMO for cardiac support. METHODS: Over 8 years, six heart centers prospectively assessed echocardiographic and hemodynamic variables on full and minimum ECMO flow. Sixty-three patients were enrolled, ranging in age from 1 day to 16 years. Hemodynamic measurements included heart rate, vasoactive inotropic score, arteriovenous oxygen difference, pulse pressure, and lactate. Echocardiographic variables included shortening fraction, ejection fraction (EF), right ventricular fractional area change, outflow tract Doppler-derived stroke distance (velocity-time integral [VTI]), and degree of atrioventricular valve regurgitation. Patients were stratified into two groups: those who were able to wean within 48 hours of assessment and survived without ventricular assist devices or orthotopic heart transplantation (successful wean group) and those with unsuccessful weaning. For each patient, variables were compared between full and minimum ECMO flow for each group. RESULTS: Thirty-eight patients (60%) formed the unsuccessful group (two with ventricular assist devices, four with orthotopic heart transplantation, 24 deaths), and 25 constituted the successful wean group. At minimum flow, higher EF (53 ± 16% vs 40 ± 20%, P = .0094), less mitral regurgitation (0.8 ± 0.9 vs 1.4 ± 0.9, P = .0329), and lower central venous pressure (12.0 ± 3.9 vs 14.7 ± 5.4 mm Hg), along with higher VTI (9.0 ± 2.9 vs 6.8 ± 3.7 cm, P = .0154), correlated successful weaning. A longer duration of ECMO (8 vs 5 days, P < .0002) was associated with unsuccessful weaning. Multivariate logistic regression predicted minimum-flow EF and VTI to independently predict successful weaning with cutoff values by receiver operating characteristic analysis of EF > 41% (area under the curve, 0.712; P = .0005) and VTI > 7.9 cm (area under the curve, 0.729; P = .0010). CONCLUSIONS: Diminished VTI or EF during ECMO weaning predicts the need for orthotopic heart transplantation or ventricular assist device support or death in children on ECMO for cardiac dysfunction. Increased postwean central venous pressure or mitral regurgitation along with a prolonged ECMO course also predicted these adverse outcomes. These measurements should be used to help discriminate which patients will require alternative methods of circulatory support for survival.

An International Survey Comparing Different Physician Models for Health Care Delivery to Critically Ill Children With Heart Disease.

OBJECTIVES: To explore relationships between the training background of cardiac critical care attending physicians and self-reported perceived strengths and weaknesses in their ability to provide clinical care. DESIGN: Cross-sectional observational survey sent worldwide to ~550 practicing cardiac ICU attending physicians. SETTING: Hospitals providing cardiac critical care. SUBJECTS: Practicing cardiac critical care physicians. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We received responses from 243 ICU attending physicians from 82 centers (14 countries). The primary training background of the respondents included critical care (62%), dual training in critical care and cardiology (16%), cardiology (14%), and other (8%). We received 49 responses from medical directors in nine countries, who reported that the predominant training background for attending physicians who provide cardiac intensive care at their institutions were critical care (58%), dual trained (18%), cardiology (12%), and other (11%). A greater proportion of physicians trained in either critical care or dual-training reported feeling confident managing multiple organ failure, neurologic conditions, brain death, cardiac arrest, and performing procedures like advanced airway placement and inserting chest- and abdominal-drains. In contrast, physicians with cardiology and dual-training reported feeling more confident managing intractable arrhythmias, understanding cardiopulmonary interactions, and interpreting echocardiogram, electrocardiogram, and cardiac catheterization. Overall, only 57% of the respondents felt comfortable based on their current training background to manage patients with complex cardiac issues without collaboration with other specialists. CONCLUSIONS: Our survey demonstrates that intensivists trained in critical care are more comfortable with critical care skills, cardiology-trained intensivists are more comfortable with cardiology skills, and dual-trained physicians are comfortable with both critical care skills and cardiology skills. These findings may help inform future efforts to optimize the educational curriculum and training pathways for future cardiac intensivists. These data may also be used to shape continuing medical education activities for cardiac intensivists who have already completed their training.

Factors associated with motor vehicle-related eye injuries presenting to the US emergency departments.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate risk factors associated with eye injuries related to motor vehicle accidents (MVA) using a multicentre national database from the US emergency departments. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A post hoc analysis from the Nationwide Emergency Department Sample database (2006-2013) was performed. Patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with MVA-related trauma were included. We then evaluated patient- and centre-level risk factors associated with the presence of ocular trauma using a multivariable logistic regression model. RESULTS: A total of 2,745,152 patients from 2080 ED were identified for inclusion. Of these, 31,493 patients (1.14%) were associated with ocular trauma. The most common ocular injuries reported in our study were injury to ocular adnexa, orbital fractures, subconjunctival haemorrhage, foreign body on eye, and open wound of the eyeball. In univariate analysis, the other patient factors associated with ocular trauma included male gender, >1 chronic condition, admission during weekend, >1 bodily injury, higher injury severity score (ISS), presence of skull fractures and other bodily fractures, seizures, and initiation of mechanical ventilation after MVA. The hospital characteristics associated with highest incidence of ocular trauma included ED visit to a level I trauma centre and metropolitan teaching hospital. The independent factors associated with ocular trauma included younger age groups, male gender, weekend injury, presence of chronic conditions, >1 bodily injury, higher ISS, presence of skull fractures, ED admission to level-1 trauma centre, and ED admission to a teaching hospital. CONCLUSIONS: This multicentre study establishes that both patient- and centre-level factors are associated with MVA-related eye injuries.

Epidemiologic Trends of Adoption of Do-Not-Resuscitate Status After Pediatric In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the prevalence of do-not-resuscitate status, assess the epidemiologic trends of do-not-resuscitate status, and assess the factors associated with do-not-resuscitate status in children after in-hospital cardiac arrest using large, multi-institutional data. DESIGN: Generalized estimating equations logistic regression model was used to evaluate the trends of do-not-resuscitate status and evaluate the factors associated with do-not-resuscitate status after cardiac arrest. SETTING: American Heart Association's Get With the Guidelines-Resuscitation Registry. PATIENTS: Children (< 18 yr old) with an index in-hospital cardiac arrest and greater than or equal to 1 minute of documented chest compressions were included (2006-2015). Patients with no return of spontaneous circulation after cardiac arrest were excluded. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: In total, 8,062 patients qualified for inclusion. Of these, 1,160 patients (14.4%) adopted do-not-resuscitate status after cardiac arrest. We found low rates of survival to hospital discharge among children with do-not-resuscitate status (do-not-resuscitate vs no do-not-resuscitate: 6.0% vs 69.7%). Our study found that rates of do-not-resuscitate status after cardiac arrest are highest in children with Hispanic ethnicity (16.4%), white race (15.0%), and treatment at institutions with larger PICUs (> 50 PICU beds: 17.8%) and at institutions located in North Central (17.6%) and South Atlantic/Puerto Rico (17.1%) regions of the United States. Do-not-resuscitate status was more common among patients with more preexisting conditions, longer duration of cardiac arrest, greater than 1 cardiac arrest, and among patients requiring extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation. We also found that trends of do-not-resuscitate status after cardiac arrest in children are decreasing in recent years (2013-2015: 13.8%), compared with previous years (2006-2009: 16.0%). CONCLUSIONS: Patient-, hospital-, and regional-level factors are associated with do-not-resuscitate status after pediatric cardiac arrest. As cardiac arrest might be a signal of terminal chronic illness, a timely discussion of do-not-resuscitate status after cardiac arrest might help families prioritize quality of end-of-life care.

Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation in the Pediatric Cardiac Catheterization Laboratory: A Report From the American Heart Association's Get With the Guidelines-Resuscitation Registry.

OBJECTIVES: Hospitalized children with underlying heart disease are at high risk for cardiac arrest, particularly when they undergo invasive catheterization procedures for diagnostic and therapeutic interventions. Outcomes for children experiencing cardiac arrest in the cardiac catheterization laboratory remain under-reported with few studies reporting survival beyond the catheterization laboratory. We aim to describe survival outcomes after cardiac arrest in the cardiac catheterization laboratory while identifying risk factors associated with hospital mortality after these events. DESIGN: Retrospective observational study of data from a multicenter cardiac arrest registry from November 2005 to November 2016. Cardiac arrest in the cardiac catheterization laboratory was defined as the need for chest compressions greater than or equal to 1 minute in the cardiac catheterization laboratory. Primary outcome was survival to discharge. Variables analyzed using generalized estimating equations for association with survival included age, illness category (surgical cardiac, medical cardiac), preexisting conditions, pharmacologic interventions, and event duration. SETTING: American Heart Association's Get With the Guidelines-Resuscitation registry of in-hospital cardiac arrest. PATIENTS: Consecutive patients less than 18 years old experiencing an index (i.e., first) cardiac arrest event reported to the Get With the Guidelines-Resuscitation. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 203 patients met definition of index cardiac arrest in the cardiac catheterization laboratory composed primarily of surgical and medical cardiac patients (54% and 41%, respectively). Children less than 1 year old comprised the majority of patients, 58% (117/203). Overall survival to hospital discharge was 69% (141/203). No differences in survival were observed between surgical and medical cardiac patients (p = 0.15). The majority of deaths (69%, 43/62) occurred in patients less than 1 year old. Bradycardia (with pulse) followed by pulseless electrical activity/asystole were the most common first documented rhythms observed (50% and 27%, respectively). Preexisting metabolic/electrolyte abnormalities (p = 0.02), need for vasoactive infusions (p = 0.03) prior to arrest, and use of calcium products (p = 0.005) were found to be significantly associated with lower rates of survival to discharge on multivariable regression. CONCLUSIONS: The majority of children experiencing cardiac arrest in the cardiac catheterization laboratory in this large multicenter registry analysis survived to hospital discharge, with no observable difference in outcomes between surgical and medical cardiac patients. Future investigations that focus on stratifying medical complexity in addition to procedural characteristics at the time of catheterization are needed to better identify risks for mortality after cardiac arrest in the cardiac catheterization laboratory.

Impact of Regional Cerebral Perfusion on Outcomes Among Neonates Undergoing Norwood Operation.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the impact of regional cerebral perfusion (RCP) during heart operation on outcomes in neonates undergoing Norwood operation. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using data from the Single Ventricle Reconstruction trial data set. The adjusted effect of RCP use on each outcome was studied using a penalized logistic regression model with bootstrap validation. RESULTS: Of 549 patients included in the study, 252 patients (45.9%) received RCP during their heart operation. In univariate comparisons, the majority of the baseline characteristics and preoperative risk factors were similar in the RCP and No RCP group. The total cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) time and the total cross-clamp (CC) time were longer in the RCP group (RCP vs No RCP, median CPB time: 161 minutes vs 109 minutes; median CC time: 63 minutes vs 43 minutes). In adjusted models, the use of RCP was not associated with decreased mortality and/or need for heart transplant at hospital discharge (odds ratio [OR]: 0.73; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.43-1.25) or prolonged mechanical ventilation (OR: 1.20, 95% CI: 0.62-2.28) or prolonged hospital length of stay (OR: 1.30, 95% CI: 0.73-2.30). We demonstrated that use of RCP was associated with longer CPB times, increased use of ultrafiltration, and higher probability of open chest after Norwood operation. CONCLUSIONS: This study did not demonstrate any impact of RCP on in-hospital mortality and/or heart transplantation, prolonged mechanical ventilation, and prolonged hospital length of stay among neonates undergoing Norwood operation.

Characteristics and Fate of Abstracts Presented at American Academy of Ophthalmology Meetings.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to evaluate the characteristics and publication outcomes of abstracts presented in American Academy of Ophthalmology (AAO) meetings. SUBJECT AND METHODS: Abstracts from AAO meetings for the years 2012 and 2013 were evaluated from the meeting archives. The study characteristics were recorded for each abstract. Each abstract was assessed for publication in a peer-reviewed scientific journal using three search engines (PubMed, Medline, and Google Scholar). Time to publication was also calculated. RESULTS: A total of 929 abstracts presented to 2 AAO meetings were analyzed. Among subspecialty areas, retina represented the largest percentage of accepted meeting abstracts (33.3%) followed by cornea (21.9%), cataract (14.9%), and glaucoma (14.4%). A total of 304 abstracts (32.7%) were published in peer-reviewed journals as full-length articles. The median time to publication was 40 months, and the median impact factor of the journal for the published manuscript was 1.9. In multivariable models, topics related to glaucoma were most likely to be published followed by retina. The odds for publication were higher if the first author was affiliated with a residency program, and if the first author originated from South Korea and the United States. CONCLUSIONS: Our study presents the landscape of publication outcomes for abstracts presented in national AAO meetings with ~1/3 of presented abstracts culminated in publication in a peer-reviewed journal.

Creation of an empiric tool to predict ECMO deployment in pediatric respiratory or cardiac failure.

PURPOSE: To create a real-time prediction tool to predict probability of ECMO deployment in children with cardiac or pulmonary failure. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients ≤18 years old admitted to an ICU that participated in the Virtual Pediatric Systems database (2009-2015) were included. Logistic regression models using adaptive lasso methodology were used to identify independent factors associated with ECMO use. RESULTS: A total of 538,202 ICU patients from 140 ICUs qualified for inclusion. ECMO was deployed in 3484 patients (0.6%) with a mortality of 1450 patients (41.6%). The factors associated with increased probability of ECMO use included: younger age, pulmonary hypertension, congenital heart disease, high-complexity cardiac surgery, cardiomyopathy, acute lung injury, shock, renal failure, cardiac arrest, use of nitric oxide, use of either conventional mechanical ventilation or high frequency oscillatory ventilation, and higher annual ECMO center volume. The area under the receiver operating curve for this model was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.85-0.93). This tool can be accessed at https://soipredictiontool.shinyapps.io/ECMORisk/. CONCLUSIONS: Here, we present a tool to predict ECMO deployment among critically ill children; this tool will help create real-time risk stratification among critically ill children, and it will help with benchmarking, family counseling, and research.

Spectrum of Off-Label Nitric Oxide Utilization After Pediatric Cardiac Surgery Among Centers of Varying Surgical Volume.

OBJECTIVE: Nitric oxide is utilized after pediatric cardiac surgery as an off-label medication without much evidence, is expensive, and varies among centers of varying surgical volume. The objective of our study was to describe the spectrum of nitric oxide utilization and to evaluate the effect of nitric oxide utilization on outcomes among patients cared for in centers of varying surgical volume using Pediatric Health Information system. METHODS: Patients aged ≤18 years undergoing heart surgery were included (2004-2015). Multivariable mixed-effects logistic regression models were fitted to evaluate association of center volume with odds of nitric oxide utilization among patients undergoing heart operations. Centers were classified into 3 volume categories based on tertiles of number of cardiopulmonary bypass cases performed (low volume: 34 792 patients, 21 centers; medium volume: 38 362 patients, 13 centers; high volume: 30 560 patients, 7 centers). RESULTS: A total of 103 714 patients from 41 hospitals were included. Of these, 15 708 (15.1%) patients received nitric oxide after cardiac surgery. Of the patients receiving nitric oxide, only 3936 (25.1%) patients were associated with a diagnosis of pulmonary hypertension. In adjusted models, low- and medium-volume centers were associated with higher nitric oxide utilization after heart operations as compared to high-volume centers (low vs high, odds ratio [OR]: 1.48, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.38-1.60; medium vs high, OR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.26-1.41). Despite higher nitric oxide utilization, the mortality was worse among patients treated in low- and medium-volume centers, as compared to high-volume centers (low vs high, OR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.26-1.60; medium vs high, OR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.04-1.25). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates variation in nitric oxide utilization after heart operations among centers of varying surgical volume. Further, it raises questions on the benefit of nitric oxide administration after pediatric cardiac surgery.

Characteristics and Fate of Pediatric Heart Disease Abstracts Presented at National Meetings.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the characteristics and publication outcomes of pediatric heart disease abstracts presented in national meetings. METHODS: Three years of abstracts (2012-2014) were evaluated from five national meetings: Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS), American Association of Thoracic Surgeons (AATS), American College of Cardiology (ACC), American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP), and American Heart Association (AHA). Each abstract was assessed for publication in a peer-reviewed scientific journal, time to publication, impact factor of the journal, and number of citations associated with the publication. RESULTS: A total of 1145 abstracts qualified for inclusion. The majority of the abstracts originated from North America (80.8%) and were single institutional (85.7%), clinical (92.5%), and retrospective (77.9%) studies. A total of 767 abstracts (66.9%) were published in peer-reviewed journals as full-length articles. More than 90% of the abstracts presented at the surgical meetings were published as manuscripts in peer-reviewed journals. In contrast, 68.8% of ACC abstracts 53.7% AAP abstracts and 61.4% of AHA abstracts were published as manuscripts in a peer-reviewed journal. The median time to publication was shortest for STS abstracts (10 months) and longest for AHA abstracts (29 months). The median impact factor for published manuscripts varied between 3.0 and 3.5 for AATS abstracts, STS abstracts, ACC abstracts, and AHA abstracts. Manuscripts from AATS abstracts had the highest number of citations. CONCLUSIONS: Our data indicate that the national cardiology and cardiac surgery meetings have become a forum for presenting high-quality research, with >90% of the abstracts presented in these meetings culminating in publication.

Magnitude and Pace of Improvement in Performance of Hospitals Treating Mechanically Ventilated Children in the United States: Analysis From Two National Databases.

OBJECTIVES: To use two national databases to quantify the pace and magnitude of improvement in hospital performance (as measured by mortality) across hospitals caring for critically ill children in the United States. DESIGN: We used empirical Bayes shrinkage estimators to obtain shrinkage estimators of observed/expected mortality ratios for each hospital assuming a Gamma Poisson posterior distribution. Revised mortality rates for each hospital were obtained from the shrunken incidence ratios. SETTING: Pediatric Health Information System participating hospital and Kids' Inpatient Database participating hospital. PATIENTS: Patients less than or equal to 18 years old who received invasive mechanical ventilation during their hospital stay at a Pediatric Health Information System participating hospital (2005-2015) or a Kids' Inpatient Database participating hospital (1997-2012) were included. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 486,838 patients from 48 Pediatric Health Information System hospitals and 798,840 patients from 947 Kids' Inpatient Database hospitals were included. For the Pediatric Health Information System hospitals, the median shrunken adjusted mortality decreased from 11.66% in 2005 to 7.11% in 2015; for the Kids' Inpatient Database hospitals, it decreased from 5.79% in 1997 to 3.86% in 2012. By 2015, more than 95% of the Pediatric Health Information System hospitals performed better than or as well as the best 25% of the hospitals in 2005. By 2012, 33.7% of Kids' Inpatient Database hospitals performed better than or as well as the best 25% of the hospitals in 1997. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides insight into the magnitude of improvement in patient mortality in hospitals caring for critically ill children in the United States. This study quantifies hospital performance in pediatric critical care over time, and it provides benchmarks against which individual hospitals can assess their own performance. In future pediatric epidemiologic studies, we should identify outcomes other than mortality to quantify improvement in hospital performance.

Incidence of Immediate Extubation After Pediatric Cardiac Surgery and Predictors for Reintubation.

OBJECTIVES: The objectives were to assess the incidence of immediate tracheal extubation in the operating room after pediatric cardiac surgery and to investigate predictors for subsequent reintubation. METHODS: This is a single institutional retrospective study including all patients who had a cardiac operation with cardiopulmonary bypass from 2011 to 2016. Patients who required preoperative ventilator support, postoperative open chest, or mechanical support were excluded. Predictors for reintubation after immediate extubation were analyzed only for patients with stage II palliation for single ventricle physiology. RESULTS: Nine hundred nine qualifying operations were identified. Immediate extubation was performed in 590 (64.9%) operations. A multivariable logistic regression model showed that the identities of anesthesiologist ( P = .0003), year of the operation performed ( P < .001), cardiopulmonary bypass time ( P < .001), and type of operations ( P < .001) were significantly associated with immediate extubation. Reintubation was significantly less frequent in patients with immediate extubation compared to those without (6.1% vs 15.0%; P < .001). A subgroup analysis for stage II palliation showed that reintubation after immediate extubation was significant for younger age (0.42 vs 0.54 years, P = .044), lower Po2/Fio2 and Po2 at the last blood gas analysis (66 vs 98 mm Hg, P = .032 and 39 vs 47 mm Hg, P = .008), and higher inotropic score (2 vs 0, P = .034). A multivariable logistic regression model showed that only inotropic score was significantly associated with reintubation ( P = .018). CONCLUSIONS: Immediate extubation in the operating room after pediatric cardiac surgery can be performed in most patients. Inotropic score is a predictor for reintubation in stage II palliation.

Reclassifying by highest complexity operation rather than first operation influences mortality after pediatric heart surgery.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect on mortality of reclassifying patients undergoing pediatric heart reoperations of varying complexity by operation of highest complexity instead of by first operation. METHODS: Data from the Virtual Pediatric Systems Database on children aged < 18 years who underwent heart surgery (with or without cardiopulmonary bypass) were included (2009-2015). Only patients who underwent reoperations during the same hospitalization were included. Patients were classified based on the first cardiovascular operation (the index operation), and on the complexity of the operation (the operation with the highest Society of Thoracic Surgeons-European Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery [STAT] mortality category of each hospital admission) performed. RESULTS: Of 51,047 patients (73 centers), 22,393 met inclusion criteria. Using index operation as the classifying operation, the number of patients classified in the STAT 1 category increased by approximately 2.5 times compared with the highest-complexity operation (index, 7,077 and highest complexity, 2,654). In contrast, when the highest-complexity classification was used, we noted an increase in the number of patients in other STAT categories. We also noted higher mortality in all STAT categories when patients were classified by index operation instead of by highest complexity (index vs highest STAT category 1, 0.6% vs 0.2%; category 2, 2.4% vs 0.8%; category 3, 3.1% vs 2.1%; category 4, 5.8% vs 5.6%; and category 5, 16.7% vs 16.5%). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates differences in the reported number of patients and reported mortality in each STAT category among children undergoing various heart reoperations during the same hospitalization by classifying patients based on index operation compared with the operation of highest complexity.

Impact of intensive care unit attending physician training background on outcomes in children undergoing heart operations.

BACKGROUND: The existing training pathways to become a pediatric cardiac intensivist are very variable with physicians coming from varied training backgrounds of pediatric critical care, pediatric cardiology, neonatology, or pediatric anesthesia. AIM: To evaluate the impact of cardiac Intensive Care Unit (ICU) attending physician training background on outcomes in children undergoing heart operations. SETTING AND DESIGN: Patients in the age group from 1 day to 18 years undergoing heart operation at a Pediatric Health Information System database participating hospital were included (2010-2015). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Based on the training background of majority of attending physicians in an ICU, the participating ICUs were divided into three groups: critical care medicine (CCM), cardiology, and indeterminate. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Multivariable logistic regression models were fitted to evaluate the association of ICU physician training background with study outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 54,935 patients from 42 ICUs were included. Of these, 31,815 patients (58%) were treated in the CCM group (26 ICUs), 19,340 patients (35%) were treated in the cardiology group (12 ICUs), and 3780 patients (7%) were treated in the indeterminate group (4 ICUs). In adjusted models, no specific group based on ICU attending physician training background was associated with lower mortality (CCM vs. cardiology, odds ratio: 0.75, 95% confidence interval: 0.48-1.18), or lower incidence of cardiac arrest, or prolonged hospital length of stay, or prolonged mechanical ventilation. CONCLUSIONS: This large observational study did not demonstrate any impact of ICU attending training background on outcomes in children undergoing heart operations.

An Empirically Derived Pediatric Cardiac Inotrope Score Associated With Pediatric Heart Surgery.

We aimed to empirically derive an inotrope score to predict real-time outcomes using the doses of inotropes after pediatric cardiac surgery. The outcomes evaluated included in-hospital mortality, prolonged hospital length of stay, and composite poor outcome (mortality or prolonged hospital length of stay). The study population included patients <18 years of age undergoing heart operations (with or without cardiopulmonary bypass) of varying complexity. To create this novel pediatric cardiac inotrope score (PCIS), we collected the data on the highest doses of 4 commonly used inotropes (epinephrine, norepinephrine, dopamine, and milrinone) in the first 24 hours after heart operation. We employed a hierarchical framework by representing discrete probability models with continuous latent variables that depended on the dosage of drugs for a particular patient. We used Bayesian conditional probit regression to model the effects of the inotropes on the mean of the latent variables. We then used Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations for simulating posterior samples to create a score function for each of the study outcomes. The training dataset utilized 1030 patients to make the scientific model. An online calculator for the tool can be accessed at https://soipredictiontool.shinyapps.io/InotropeScoreApp. The newly proposed empiric PCIS demonstrated a high degree of discrimination for predicting study outcomes in children undergoing heart operations. The newly proposed empiric PCIS provides a novel measure to predict real-time outcomes using the doses of inotropes among children undergoing heart operations of varying complexity.

Development and Validation of an Empiric Tool to Predict Favorable Neurologic Outcomes Among PICU Patients.

OBJECTIVES: To create a novel tool to predict favorable neurologic outcomes during ICU stay among children with critical illness. DESIGN: Logistic regression models using adaptive lasso methodology were used to identify independent factors associated with favorable neurologic outcomes. A mixed effects logistic regression model was used to create the final prediction model including all predictors selected from the lasso model. Model validation was performed using a 10-fold internal cross-validation approach. SETTING: Virtual Pediatric Systems (VPS, LLC, Los Angeles, CA) database. PATIENTS: Patients less than 18 years old admitted to one of the participating ICUs in the Virtual Pediatric Systems database were included (2009-2015). INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 160,570 patients from 90 hospitals qualified for inclusion. Of these, 1,675 patients (1.04%) were associated with a decline in Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category scale by at least 2 between ICU admission and ICU discharge (unfavorable neurologic outcome). The independent factors associated with unfavorable neurologic outcome included higher weight at ICU admission, higher Pediatric Index of Morality-2 score at ICU admission, cardiac arrest, stroke, seizures, head/nonhead trauma, use of conventional mechanical ventilation and high-frequency oscillatory ventilation, prolonged hospital length of ICU stay, and prolonged use of mechanical ventilation. The presence of chromosomal anomaly, cardiac surgery, and utilization of nitric oxide were associated with favorable neurologic outcome. The final online prediction tool can be accessed at https://soipredictiontool.shinyapps.io/GNOScore/. Our model predicted 139,688 patients with favorable neurologic outcomes in an internal validation sample when the observed number of patients with favorable neurologic outcomes was among 139,591 patients. The area under the receiver operating curve for the validation model was 0.90. CONCLUSIONS: This proposed prediction tool encompasses 20 risk factors into one probability to predict favorable neurologic outcome during ICU stay among children with critical illness. Future studies should seek external validation and improved discrimination of this prediction tool.

Is Magnet® recognition associated with improved outcomes among critically ill children treated at freestanding children's hospitals?

PURPOSE: With increasing emphasis on high-quality care, we designed this study to evaluate the relationship between Magnet® recognition and patient outcomes in pediatric critical care. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Post hoc analysis of data from an existing administrative national database. We used inverse probability of treatment weighting and multivariate models to compare outcomes between two study groups after adjusting for confounding variables. RESULTS: A total of 823,634 pediatric patients from 41 centers were included. Of these, 454,616 patients (55.2%) were treated in 23 Magnet hospitals. The majority of baseline characteristics did not vary significantly among the two study groups. In adjusted models, there was no difference in mortality between the two groups (Magnet vs. non-Magnet; odds ratio: 0.92, 95% confidence interval: 0.77-1.11). When stratified by various subgroups, such as cardiac, non-cardiac, ECMO, cardiac arrest, respiratory failure, use of nitric oxide, genetic abnormality etc., Magnet status of the hospital did not confer a survival advantage. In a sensitivity analysis on patients from crossover hospitals only, attainment of magnet status was associated with increased hospital charges. CONCLUSIONS: This large observational study calls into question the utility of the Magnet Recognition Program among children with critical illness, at least among the freestanding children's hospitals.